Probability

What does likely mean, and how do we calculate it?

Objective

Basic probability is reviewed so that students can understand simulation outcomes and p-value meanings.

We will

  • Explain probability concepts including independence and conditionality and explain connections to the addition rule, multiplication rule

  • Explain the terms sensitivity and specificity

Background reading

Course notes links for background reading also contain code used to produce R output used in slides.

Lecture slides (click to open in Google slides!)

Extra material